The Tampa Bay Lightning (20-14-2) go on the road to play the Anaheim Ducks (16-18-4) at Honda Center on Sunday, January 5 at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have lost three straight games.

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Here is our pick for who will clinch the win in Sunday's matchup.

Over the last 10 games, the Ducks are 6-4-0 while totaling 29 total goals (two power-play goals on 33 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 6.1%). They have given up 28 goals.

Lightning vs. Ducks Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Ducks 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-178)
Total Pick: Under 7 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Ducks (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 20-14-2 record overall, with a 3-2-5 record in contests that have required overtime.
Tampa Bay is 4-6-1 (nine points) in its 11 games decided by one goal.
In the four games this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they finished 0-3-1.
Tampa Bay has lost all six games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
The Lightning are 20-5-1 in the 26 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 41 points).
In the 11 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 7-4-0 record (14 points).
In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 11-7-0 (22 points).
The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 15 games. The Lightning went 8-5-2 in those matchups (18 points).

Ducks Splits and Trends

The Ducks have a record of 16-18-4 this season and are 5-4-9 in overtime matchups.
Anaheim has earned 15 points (6-6-3) in its 15 games decided by one goal.
This season the Ducks registered only one goal in 11 games and they finished 0-10-1 in those matchups.
When Anaheim has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned four points (1-8-2 record).
The Ducks have scored three or more goals in 16 games, earning 31 points from those contests.
This season, Anaheim has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in nine games has a record of 4-4-1 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Anaheim is 8-7-1 (17 points).
The Ducks have been outshot by opponents 21 times this season, and earned 17 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

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